August 2005

Katrina Links

This is way worse than 9-11. It seems likely that New Orleans is history, at least as a major city; it may remain as a name on a map, but no one will live there who has the resources to move somewhere else. Venice can survive; Amsterdam can survive. But no coastal city below sea level can survive in the hurricane corridor. Not in our present era of global warming climate change. (What new euphemism will they come up with to deny what’s happening, now that Katrina has revealed the truth behind that one?)

Here are some links that I’ve found useful:

Boing Boing has a fascinating story about how our perceptions are shaped by the media. Two pictures, each of a person wading waist-deep in the flood waters, dragging a large plastic bag or box behind.

The images were shot by different photographers, and captioned by different photo wire services. The Associated Press caption accompanying the image with a black person says he’s just finished “looting” a grocery store. The AFP/Getty Images caption describes lighter skinned people “finding” bread and soda from a grocery store. No stores are open to sell these goods.

Sad.

Halley Suitt links the looting to this story on Yahoo News.

Sheila Lennon’s Subterranean Homepage News is maintaining good coverage of the disaster from a media perspective.

The Times-Picayune has been positively heroic. It’s only available online now, with staff working out of the LSU Journalism building.

Eric Berger’s SciGuy Science Blog has been an incredibly up-to-date source of accurate news about what, exactly, is happening since several days before the hurricane landed.

Doc Searls takes the broadcast media to task for their overwhelmingly dumb response to the tragedy:

This is the time for the mainstream media to ask good questions, and to provide those near and outside the areas with truly useful information.
 
We’re getting remarkably little of it from the people doing the interviews, the national reporters standing in front of the rubble. Larry King, who all but wrote the book on dumb softball questions, asks “old friend” Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour how many people died and how long it will take to rebuild. CNN’s often interesting Anderson Cooper delivers an obvious comparison to the recent Tsunami’s wreck of Sri Lanka. Like the pictures alone failed to make the same point. A couple days ago we watched Anderson stand in the wind and rain talking about the wind and rain.

And he lists four things we want to see on our sets:

Maps of what’s wrecked and what’s not. Specifics on roads, bridges, railroads. Truly detailed maps and static graphics are helpful. (CNN should be able to do better than this.) And spare us the crap like “The CNN.com video experience is optimized for Windows Media Player 9 or above.” If you have to show video, put it in a format anybody can watch.
 
The status of cities, counties, towns, parishes, schools, hospitals, military bases, government offices and other institutions. This is helpful to people looking to reach any of those places, or who wonder how people they know might be doing there.
 
Reports on where to turn on the Web for more complete information than TV can contribute. Lists of local and regional radio stations that are operative and providing useful information.
 
Relevant advertising. Now is the time to sell ads to public spirited advertisers who have useful and unsensational things to say to viewers.

The New York Times (free registration required) has finally, this morning, caught up with the disaster, in an issue that’s full of excellent reporting. Thy’ve also addressed the first of Doc’s points with an excellent map of the city, showing how the floodwaters are affecting different parts of it.

CNN Advertising LinksCNN has been the only mainstream news organization that’s stayed consistently on top of the story in their web coverage. Well-written stories, useful links. And I expect that if you’re able to view the video clips (I’m not, for some reason that I don’t currently have the time or inclination to debug), I suspect that it’s even better.

The only area in which I can see CNN falling down is in their Advertising Links. The screenshot to the right was taken this morning, just an hour or so ago. (As I am writing this, I checked their site again, and it seems that the advertising links are now a bit more appropriate.)

George Bush keeps his coolFinally, here is another picture, also taken today (August 31st, 2005, for you history buffs). Thanks to the Daily Kos.

Katrina
observe the passing scene

Comments (0)

Permalink

Feel Safe or Be Safe?

CriminalMy friend Suhith Wickrema sent me the following analysis of the position two leading candidates for Mayor of Cincinnati have taken regarding crime. His is a cogent analysis. I find it persuasive.

Cincinnati has a real battle for Mayor this election and the issue of public safety has dominated the political discussion. Three of the candidates have announced their Public Safety plans. Let’s examine their proposals.

Mr. Pepper and Mr. Winburn tout the “broken window” theory popularized by John Q. Wilson and George L. Kelling who wrote, in 1982: “one unrepaired broken window is a signal that no one cares and, breaking more windows costs nothing.”

When it comes to policing theory this translates to zero tolerance for “quality of life crimes.” This was the rational used by New York City Police Commissioner William Bratton in the 1990’s to start arresting minor lawbreakers such as “squeegee” men and panhandlers.

Mr. Pepper and Mr. Winburn would have us believe that if there are no squeegee men and panhandlers, dope peddlers will stop selling dope, gang-bangers will stop shooting each other and men will stop raping women. Even discredited theories take twenty years to come to Cincinnati!

Mr. Pepper’s plan to decrease the violent crime rate in Cincinnati is to have zero tolerance for “quality of life concerns” such as “noise graffiti and litter.” He makes an obligatory mention of treatment, but no mention of increasing treatment slots. He claims that Cincinnati is “under staffed when it comes to its police force.”

Mr. Winburn promises to increase the Cincinnati Police Department by 200 officers at a cost of $8.5 million. He also promises to build a new jail. He does not say how he is going to find the money for these projects. Although Mr. Winburn claims that he will fight violent crime from “all directions and angles” he does not address treatment.

Mr. Pepper and Mr. Winburn cite New York City as a model in reducing crime –– is it the best model? During the same period when New York City took this approach and coincidentally saw a reduction in crime rates, San Francisco took a different approach –– alternative sentencing and community involvement –– and saw a larger decrease in crime rates than in New York City. From 1995 to 1998 San Francisco’s violent crime rate went down 33%. NY City’s violent crime rate went down only 26 % in the same time period.

While claiming that the CPD is understaffed, both candidates have omitted some interesting figures about the CPD compared to other cities: Cincinnati has 31 police officers per 10,000 residents while San Francisco has 29, Louisville has 27, Columbus has 25, and Lexington has 19. The salary of an entry-level officer in Cincinnati is $37,487, in Columbus it’s $30,480, in Lexington $30,274, and in Louisville $27,689. (All figures are for the year 2000)

Mr. Mallory is pushing boot camps to fight crimes. Boot camps may satisfy the punitive instinct in most of us. Boot camps by themselves are purely punitive and have not shown to be effective. However, Mr. Mallory does include the after care component for boot camps that have shown to reduce crime.

Having a parent in prison is a strong predictor that their child will end up in prison. A policy that promises to lockup people will only increase the prison population. It will not reduce crime. It will not reduce the number of victims. The ‘Lock them up’ mentality makes most of us feel safe. It does not make us safe. So, think before you vote! It is time that we got smart on crime!

Thanks, Suhith!

live in Cincinnati
respect rationality

Comments (0)

Permalink

Believing in, believing that, believing

God separating darkness from lightMy friend Paul points out that the term “believing in God� represents an unusual idiom. In most other situations in which it is used, the phrase “believe in� means something slightly but importantly different from what it means when someone says that she “believes in� God.

If Emily’s husband is accused of philandering, Emily might say that she believes in her husband, and everyone would understand her meaning. Just so, when Colin Powell says that he believes in his President, or when a businessman states his belief in the free market, or a comrade at the barricades says that he believes in Communism, or even when a fan believes in the Yankees or the Mets. In each of those cases, “believing inâ€? is an assertion that the believed-in entity is trustworthy. In no case is it an assertion that the entity actually exists, as it is when someone asserts a “belief in” God. There is never any doubt that Emily’s husband exists, as does the POTUS, Communism, free market capitalism, and the Yankees.

I have no doubt that God exists, in exactly the same way that Communism exists, and the Yankees, and the Office of the President of the United States. God’s existence is validated by the same process that validates the existence of those other entities: people “believe in” Him, in the same way that people believe in Communism and the Yankees. That is, they believe that those entities are what their promotional literature and their apologists claim them to be; they have those particular powers and virtues; they’ve won those victories, defeated those enemies, rewarded, in just those ways, their particular friends and supporters. Indeed, it is more than simple validation at work here. The belief is what makes the existence real. Without believers, similar entities—the Easter Bunny, Almighty Jove, the Gold Standard, the Divine Right of Kings, the Mudville Nine—enter the realm of fairy tale and legend.

Continue Reading »

perceive many gods
reject the one true God
respect rationality

Comments (5)

Permalink

Katrina

Hurricane KatrinaEric Berger’s SciGuy science blog has the best ongoing coverage of Katrina, which is shaping up to be a disaster of unprecedented proportions. Although the latest news gives a little hope that it won’t be as bad as it looked like it might be earlier today. From Eric’s latest post:

Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center plot out the official track for a storm by reviewing several models. As they follow a storm, the forecasters will tend to rely on some models more than others as they seem to handle that particular storm better.

Here’s a link to an image of some of the computer models the hurricane center uses for a forecast. Although the lines may look scattered, from past experience, I can say they’re actually pretty well clustered for Katrina.

The interesting thing to me is that a fair number of the models actually have the storm aimed toward Mississippi a bit. If this happens New Orleans could be spared the very worst.

Latest reports are that the three-lane highways north out of New Orleans are at a standstill, and that there are no hotel rooms between Biloxi and Mobile. If I were a praying man, my prayers would be with you.

Update 5:20 PM EDT:

WikiNews has a page up which seems likely to be receiving pretty timely updates.

And while you’re there, support the WikiMedia Foundation.

Katrina
observe the passing scene

Comments (0)

Permalink

Dealing with it

U.S. TroopsOver on Joshua Micah Mitchell’s Talking Points Memo, Steve Clemons has written a fine commentary on Juan Coles’ equally fine 10-point plan to deal with Iraq. There’s something in these two posts to anger almost everyone. Both writers understand that the Iraqis need to take control sooner, rather than later, and that they will need, not only our help, but the help of other nations, mainly those who were our close allies until our arrogance forced them to distance themselves from us. Clemons is especially clear on that last point:

As best I can tell, President Bush, Dick Cheney, and Karl Rove turn every battle — all of them — into winner-takes-all, take-no-prisoners skirmishes. This is not strategy. This is just clear-cutting — when America lets them get away with it.

Strategy would be losing the right battles to your friends so that America wins from them the support it most needs.

But both writers also make the forceful point that simply withdrawing from Iraq would be an abandonment of responsibility and would lead to many more deaths than the on-going insurgency actions are causing. Coles is concise and lucid on the likely results of a quick and unqualified U.S. withdrawal:

For one thing, there would be an Iraq civil war. Iraq wasn’t having a civil war in 2002. And although you could argue that what is going on now is a subterranean, unconventional civil war, it is not characterized by set piece battles and hundreds of people killed in a single battle, as was true in Lebanon in 1975-76, e.g. People often allege that the US military isn’t doing any good in Iraq and there is already a civil war. These people have never actually seen a civil war and do not appreciate the lid the US military is keeping on what could be a volcano.

The 10-point plan he suggests is pragmatic and convincing, involving quick U.S. withdrawal from urban areas, followed by withdrawal of most ground troops. Those troop withdrawals would be accompanied by continuing U.S. air support of Iraqi military and security forces in firefights with guerilla units, protection of key Iraqi military leaders from assassination attempts, and material support for the Iraqi’s development of a strong armor corps. As a quid pro quo for that military assistance, the U.S. should demand district elections that would insure Sunni Arab participation in the Iraqi parliament, along with amnesty for former Baath Party members who have not been proven to have committed serious crimes, and the reinstatement of those who have been fired from the schools and the civil bureaucracy. With regard to reconstruction, Coles calls on Congress to rewrite the laws requiring that reconstruction funds must be spent with U.S. companies; those funds, he says, should go to Iraqi firms, to help rebuild the economy. Finally, he calls on the U.S. to participate in regular top-level meetings with the foreign ministers of Iraq’s neighbors, along with Russia, “to help put Iraq back on its feet through diplomacy and multilateral aid.”

This step will require that the Bush administration cease threatening regularly to bomb Tehran or to overthrow the governments of Syria and Iran. For the sake of getting out of Iraq without a world-class economic disaster, the US will just have to deal with the real world, which contains Iran and Syria.

This is all good sense. It is not strident, and it is not political jockeying for position. It deals with the situation that exists, here, there, and now. If the Democrats were serious about presenting us with alternatives to the demonstrably flawed policies of the Bush Administration, instead of simply wringing their hands and counting on Cindy Sheehan to deliver the electorate, they’d take something like Coles’ 10-point plan and make it into a plank. It’s certainly one that someone should be running on.

observe the passing scene

Comments (0)

Permalink

What was that again?

Wired Magazine reports on a fascinating study by a couple of vision researchers, who measured eye movements in American, Japanese and Chinese college students while looking at photographs. The Americans latched onto the foreground object in the scene and focused on that, while the Asian students spent much more time scanning the background, taking in the whole scene. The researchers believe they are seeing cultural differences:

“Asians live in a more socially complicated world than we do,” [Dr. Richard Nisbett] said in a telephone interview. “They have to pay more attention to others than we do. We are individualists. We can be bulls in a china shop, they can’t afford it.”

The key thing in Chinese culture is harmony, Nisbett said, while in the West the key is finding ways to get things done, paying less attention to others.

Koi in a pond, copyright 2004 Richard BlumbergI think that these folks are definitely onto something—something that may explain a lot of different things, including the fiasco of the Vietnamese war, the miraculous recovery of Japan after the Second World War, the current rapid decline in US technological superiority, and the likelihood that China will emerge as the dominant nation in the world much more quickly than anyone here expects.

The fact is, that we have lost sight completely of the many virtues inherent in harmony; all we see when we look at a nation working in harmony is a coercive force at the top enforcing conformity. If we look for that in any harmonious society, of course, we will see it. But that’s not all there is to it. And our focus on the foreground prevents us from seeing the equally dangerous and dehumanizing dynamics enforcing conformity in our own society; we think of ourselves as rugged individualists, and of the Chinese and Japanese as herd-mentality communitarians, but that’s a false picture.

I hope that this research continues and extends to other cultures. I’d love to see, for example, how those photos are viewed by people raised in a tribal culture, or by people who have grown up in a traditional Islamic society.

Thanks to Boing Boing for the link.

look to the east
observe the passing scene

Comments (0)

Permalink

Buddhism and Christianity

The following post is in response to a request that Bill, over at Faith Commons, made for a “quick list of parallels between Buddhism and Christianity.” It is cross-posted, in a somewhat different form, to the Faith Commons site.

Unfortunately, Bill, there’s nothing quick about Buddhism. And, while there are certainly some parallels between the teachings of Jesus and those of Siddhartha Gautama*, the Buddha, there are very few similarities between Buddhism and Christianity. I’m going to take a stab at giving you an overview, of the similarities and of the differences (always with the understanding that this is as I see it, and I would hesitate to call myself a Buddhist; rather, I am one who finds the teachings of the Buddha more complete and truer than those of any other sage I know.)

There are three things, I think, that most clearly distinguish the Buddhist teachings from the Christian scriptures: the authenticity and coherence of the scriptural documents, the differing natures of Jesus and the Buddha, and the vast differences in the core doctrines. I’ll take these one at a time.
Continue Reading »

respect rationality
trust the Buddha

Comments (0)

Permalink

First, the footnote…

Kamma and rebirth

Cakka, the Wheel of the DammaOver at Faith Commons, last week, I made a flippant comment in response to a post by Bill questioning the relationship between the organized Church and the teachings of Jesus, and he challenged my flippancy with a serious request for “a quick list of parallels” between the teachings of Jesus and the teachings of the Buddha. I’ve been working on a response to that challenge, which I will post here and there very shortly. But in the course of writing that, what began as a footnote glossing the Buddhist concept of rebirth has turned into something way too long for a footnote, so I’ve made it into a post of its own, and here it goes.

This one is the sticking point for a lot of people. They may find Buddhism appealing for its rationality, its common sense. But then they come to the concept of rebirth and they balk. I did. It took me a lot of study, and a lot of thinking, to come to terms with an idea that I found so improbable, so difficult to reconcile with a doctrine that was in other regards so clear and persuasive. I came to realize that my problem with the Buddhist notion of rebirth was based, as so many of my problems are, on unexamined preconceptions derived from the popular culture in which I’ve grown up. When I heard the term “rebirth”, what filled my mind was more Shirley MacLaine than the Buddha; I associated the concept with all sorts of New Age nonsense, with Doonesbury’s Boopsie channeling Hunk Ra, with Mehitabel’s insistence that she is a reincarnation of Cleopatra. And that, of course, is not what it’s about, at all.
Continue Reading »

respect rationality
trust the Buddha

Comments (3)

Permalink

Who’s the enemy?

George W. GodCenk Uygur, in his article in The Huffington Post, is uncommonly clear-eyed and persuasive in making his point that we are not engaged in a War Against Terror, but, rather, in a War Against Fundamentalism. He points out that we cannot win a war if we don’t know who the enemy is, and the fact that we don’t know the enemy in the “War Against Terror” is becoming more and more clear each day. Uygur argues that it’s pointless to fight George Bush for starting this misguided war, and that the administration’s concept of a War Against Terror is meaningless; and he asks, “What are we really fighting against?”

I have a simple answer – fundamentalism. Muslim fundamentalists believe it is their moral duty to fight a jihad against the West. They are guided by their strict, literal reading of the Koran (helped along by hateful imams who select the worst parts of the Koran).

But we are not just aligned against Muslim fundamentalists. The problem is broader than that. It is Jewish fundamentalists like the Gaza settlers and Christian fundamentalists like Tom DeLay who want to drive us further into this conflict. They also rely on their absurd interpretations of their religious texts.

The point that we have fundamentalists in this country, and that they are in power, is the important point that Uygur makes.

[Christian fundamentalists] believe that Israel should rebuild the Temple on the Mount, thereby destroying holy Muslim sites and assuredly starting a gigantic war. Finally, they think that when this happens, Armageddon will ensue, most of the people on this Earth will die and Santa Claus, I mean Jesus Christ, will come back to save them (and only them). There’s another word for these people – crazy.

Our former Attorney General, John Ashcroft, is a fundamentalist. He anointed himself in holy oils before he took the oath of office. You know who does that? Crazy people.

Our President thinks God talks to him. You know who thinks that? Crazy people.

We need to understand that the fundamentalist in the White House is no different, in his basic craziness, than the fundamentalist in the pulpit or the fundamentalist in the synagogue or the fundamentalist in the mosque. They are all crazy, and they are collaborating (although they don’t see it that way and would deny it) in bringing about the apocolypse they all crave.

Uygur thinks that our failure to engage them is rooted in our politeness: you don’t criticize another man’s beliefs. But we have to engage them; our civilization depends on it.

Right now, it’s completely one-sided. The fundamentalists in this country attack with impunity and the secular Americans sit back for fear of offending the crazies. It’s time to hit them back (proverbially, violence is usually the refuge of weak-minded fundamentalists, not thinking, rational people).

It is not acceptable to be against teaching valid science to our children because you think your Book tells you to. It is not acceptable to hate gay people because you think your Book tells you to. It is not acceptable to deny other citizens their privacy because you think your Book tells you to. It is not acceptable to be one-sided in dealing with the Middle East and drive us all into war because you think your Book tells you to. It is not acceptable to root for Armageddon and try to take steps towards getting there because you think your Book tells you to.

Thinking you talk to God doesn’t qualify you to lead the nation – it qualifies you for a mental institution. The time for accommodation has come to an end.

Well said, Cent Uygur. Your war is one in which I will enlist, gladly.

observe the passing scene
reject the one true God
respect rationality

Comments (0)

Permalink

Free Wi-Fi from Google?

Om Malik, at Business 2.0, presents a very persuasive argument that Google is preparing to blanket major cities with free wi-fi. He covers both how—Google has, over the past year, been buying up miles of “dark fiber” (unused fiber optic cable) at bargain prices from a telecom industry plagued by bankruptcies—and why—Google could save millions of dollars per month by cutting out the middlemen who charge transit fees for data sent in response to searches.

And then there’s the business proposition. In April, Google sponsored a free wi-fi hotspot in San Francisco’s Union Square, working with a local startup called Feeva.

Google’s interest in Feeva likely stems from the startup’s proprietary technology, which can determine the location of every Wi-Fi user and would allow Google to serve up advertising and maps based on real-time data.

That would work for me.

observe the passing scene

Comments (0)

Permalink