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The end of the Internet

Is that being alarmist? Maybe. The story is in the Washington Post, and it’s chilling.

The big telcos, headed by Bell South and AT&T, are promoting the idea that they should be able to control the Internet traffic that flows through the channels they control, to deny access to services that compete with services they offer, and to charge big content providers, like Google and Yahoo, to give their traffic priority over traffic of small content providers, like this blog.

William L. Smith, chief technology officer for Atlanta-based BellSouth Corp., told reporters and analysts that an Internet service provider such as his firm should be able, for example, to charge Yahoo Inc. for the opportunity to have its search site load faster than that of Google Inc.

Or, Smith said, his company should be allowed to charge a rival voice-over-Internet firm so that its service can operate with the same quality as BellSouth’s offering.

It’s not hard to see that such a scheme would mean the end of the Internet as we know it, which is the Internet that many of us have come to consider indispensible. Lest we miss the point, Smith gives us another example a little later in the article:

Smith said the ability to prioritize traffic would benefit consumers, such as with online services providing medical alerts. And he said his company wants to be able to assure vendors such as online-gaming firms that their subscribers will get top performance even when there is heavy network traffic, which can slow a system. [Emphasis mine: RB]

This is not a theoretical discussion. There’s legislation in the Energy and Commerce Committee of the House right now that would give Smith what he wants—legislation, need we add, whose passage through Congress is being liberally greased by contributions from the telcos and cable companies.

There’s a pretty powerful coalition of interests opposing the legislation as it’s written, including Amazon, Google and Ebay, but it’s unlikely that they own as many legislators as the network providers, being so new to that game. And given the various other things happening on the national scene these days, something like this could gain a good deal of momentum before the public in general, or even most legislators, become aware of it.

It’s probably not too early to drop a note to your congressfolk to let them know that you are aware of what’s going down, and that you are mighty disturbed by this attempt to hijack the Internet, and that you will be watching their response to the legislation. It’s probably also a good idea to get to know Public Knowledge, a digital rights advocacy group that has been quick to speak out against the so-called “pay-for-performance” concept, and even to give them a contribution to help them with their good works.

Thanks to The Progressive Blog Alliance and Blogonymous for the heads-up on this one.

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Acceptance

Harold Pinter

I believe that despite the enormous odds which exist, unflinching, unswerving, fierce intellectual determination, as citizens, to define the real truth of our lives and our societies is a crucial obligation which devolves upon us all. It is in fact mandatory.

Harold Pinter, 2005
Start by reading Harold Pinter’s Nobel Prize acceptance speech. For the second day in a row, I must ask you to read the piece straight through to the end. All our lives depend upon your doing that. I am devastated by Pinter’s honesty.

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Now This is Scary!

Is this man sane?

The sources said Mr. Bush maintains daily contact with only four people: first lady Laura Bush, his mother, Barbara Bush, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and Undersecretary of State Karen Hughes. The sources also say that Mr. Bush has stopped talking with his father, except on family occasions.

Hunter, in the Daily Kos, reports that Bush feels betrayed by his father, believing him to be behind Brent Scowcroft’s devastating interview in The New Yorker, and by Karl Rove, because he lied to the President about the Plamegate affair. Even in the best of times, this President is dangerously isolated from anyone who would tell him the truth about what’s going on in the world. Now these reports, coming on top of other recent reports about his resumed drinking and other erratic behavior, are really frightening. And Hunter points out that the new stories are coming from bedrock Republican sources, e.g. The Washington Times and Matt Drudge.

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Devolution

Nobuo Masataka, a primate researcher at Kyoto University, has written a book which argues that proliferation of mobile phones has resulted in a population of young people in Japan who behave more like chimpanzees than humans. He calls this group “dearuki-zoku (out and about tribe)” and claims that their reliance on mobile phones and text messaging has caused them to lose the distinction between public and private space, to become more emotional, less able to express their feelings in words, and more likely to lash out in sudden, unprovoked attacks.

“There’s been a dramatic increase in the dearuki-zoku. They don’t eat meals at home with family members and you can clearly see with your own eyes the large increase in young people who hang about on the streets together with the same old friends,” Masataka tells Sapio. “They make places like Shibuya their territory and rarely head even to places like (nearby entertainment and shopping districts) Shinjuku or Harajuku. They get tired going to new places or meeting new people. If they get hungry while they’re strolling around, they simply get food by going into a convenience store, buying something and sitting down outside on the curb to eat it. If not that, then they just hang around for hours in fast food joints.”

The primate specialist says the actions of the dearuki-zoku closely resemble behavior patterns in chimpanzees, which tend to travel in groups, walking around for a long time without going to any specific place, then eating and disposing of their wastes in the same place before bedding down on piles of grass whenever and wherever the inclination takes them.

My tendency is to dismiss this sort of speculation as publicity-seeking behavior, with virtually no relationship to genuine science. And I distrust my own old-fart tendency to see the behavior of young people and other alien cultures as a tolling bell for the doom of civilization. Still, this one has resonance; there’s something going on among those young people who have such a symbiotic relationship with such an intimate and seductive gadget, and it doesn’t feel comfortable or even, as Professor Masataka points out, quite human. I think it may be something we’ll be hearing more about.

Thanks to Boing-Boing, via MobHappy, for the link.

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Letter to my Senator

September 11, 2005

Honorable George V. Voinovich
317 Hart Senate Office Building
Washington, DC 20510

Dear Senator Voinovich,

I know that you, unlike some of your colleagues on both sides of the aisle, deserve the “Honorable� before your name. I’ve followed your career, sometimes from a distance and other times closely, and I’ve seen you act, time and again, thoughtfully, effectively, courageously.

Senator Voinovich, your country needs those qualities more than it ever has. Your President is out of touch and out of control, his administration is riddled with incompetence at best, and probably corruption, and your party is trotting along meekly, failing utterly to hold its leaders to any reasonable standards of ethics, responsibility, or morality.

You and your colleagues have just authorized the government to spend $52 billion to help New Orleans. Sir, you must demand to know, and you must tell your constituents, how that money is going to be spent. So far, it seems that it is going to Blackwater Security, to Halliburton, and to Service Corporation International, all of them companies with close personal ties to the administration, all of them receiving their share of the booty with no bidding process and no oversight process in place. The administration, as far as I can tell (and I hope that you have certain knowledge that I am wrong), has placed no restrictions on what they are permitted to do; they have even been relieved of the basic obligation to pay prevailing wages to the workers they hire.

Senator Voinovich, how much of the billions we spend on recovering NOLA will reach the victims of the disaster there? How much will go to enrich the shareholders and managers of the companies being rewarded with fat contracts? I know that you understand the importance of getting accurate and honest answers to such questions. Please, sir, don’t abandon your responsibility to act on what you know to be right.

In desperate sadness, for the people of New Orleans and for the future of our nation, I am,

Sincerely yours,

Richard Blumberg

Richard Blumberg

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The Coming Flood

Hurricane Katrina victimsGasoline is expected to hit $4/gallon sometimes soon. (Who will monitor the global oil industry’s profits pre- and post-Katrina?) That’s bearable, for us. We have some measure of control over the amount we drive; we don’t drive far; our cars are relatively thrifty; and we’re rich, by current standards. For some, in the virtual absence, in most parts of the country, of effective public transportation, $4/gallon will be enough to push them over the edge, further skewing those current standards. And I suspect that gas prices will never go down, and may, in fact, peak at much more than $4.

But the discomfort created by high gasoline prices pales compared to the damage to the national and global economies that will be the inevitable result of the loss, for months at least, of the Port of Southern Louisiana. Charles Stross gives an overview of what’s at stake. The Port, which stretches for 50 miles north and south of New Orleans, is the largest port in the United States, and the fifth largest in the world.

Stross quotes a report from StratFor:

“It is the key port for the export of grains to the rest of the world — corn, soybeans, wheat and animal feed. Midwestern farmers and global consumers depend on those exports. The United States imports crude oil, petrochemicals, steel, fertilizers and ores through the port. Fifteen percent of all U.S. exports by value go through the port. Nearly half of the exports go to Europe.”

Stross estimates that the economic cost of closing the Port of Souther Louisiana for up to three months may equal 5% of the US balance of trade with the rest of the world; the cost, he says, is likely to be an order of magnitude higher than the $25-35 Billion in probable insurance claims, and may be more than the cost of the Iraq war to date. He asks, “What are the likely consequences (locally and globally) of blowing a 5% of GDP sized hole under the waterline of the US economy?”

Iraq has been draining the resources of the country, pushing people deeper into poverty, ripping gaping holes in what’s left of a public safety net, and putting many areas that have relied on federal programs to survive in jeopardy (including New Orleans; one probable reason for the break in the levees was the huge cuts suffered over the past several years by the engineering efforts structured to maintain the levee system.) Now double that drain.

The levees have been breached. It’s hard to see how we will be able to keep our heads above water.

Katrina
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Nature Nature’s God

Charles DarwinIn the American Prospect, Chris Mooney does some calm and penetrating analysis of what’s going on in Kansas. In his article Creating a Controversy, Chris points out that it’s not just evolutionary theory that’s under attack there, but the whole foundation of science as a reality-based enterprise, one whose purpose is the pursuit of objective truth.

Kansas’s previously proposed science standards had appropriately defined science as “the human activity of seeking natural explanations for what we observe in the world around us.” Anti-evolutionists want to change this language to the following: “Science is a systematic method of continuing investigation, that uses observation, hypothesis testing, measurement, experimentation, logical argument and theory building, to lead to more adequate explanations of natural phenomena.”

This may seem harmless at first glance. But the change carefully removes any reference to science’s search for natural explanations in favor of “more adequateâ€? explanations, creating a opening for creationists to insert the supernatural. Such a change reflects the fact that the new generation of anti-evolutionists has launched an attack on modern science itself, claiming that it amounts, essentially, to institutionalized atheism. Science, they say, has a prejudice against supernatural causation (by which they generally mean “the actions of Godâ€?). Instead, the new anti-evolutionists claim that if scientists would simply open their minds to the possible action of forces acting beyond the purview of natural laws, they would suddenly perceive the weaknesses of evolutionary theory.

This is terrifying stuff, which will inevitably lead to a cloud of stupidity pouring out of the heartland to darken the country’s communications channels and classrooms. Once they’ve driven the wedge into science through the crack they perceive in evolutionary theory, they will go after the Big Bang, e.g. the current consensus on cosmology. They will attach every branch of science that is not easily susceptible to laboratory experimentation, because they can use the same appeal to ignorance:

  1. It’s only a theory
  2. theory == guess
  3. guess == uncertainty
  4. God == certainty

And we need to be certain about this, because we certainly don’t want our children led into error.

God help us.

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GOPbs

New GOPbs Logo. Thanks to Jesus' GeneralIn case you’ve been somewhere else for the past couple of months, you already know about Kenneth Tomlinson, the new Republican Chairman of PBS, who has been busily working to disembowel (as in remove what remains of the guts of) what may be our last bastion of solid investigative (as in question the powers that be) journalism. Working without the knowledge or consent of his own board, Tomlinson has hired Mary Catherine Andrews, the director of the White House Office of Global Communications, as a senior staff member, and he is pressing to replace the corporation’s president, whose contract was not renewed, with Patricia Harrison, a former co-chairwoman of the Republican National Committee.

Jesus’ General has a nice review of the new lineup of PBS shows under Tomlinson’s regime. Here’s a sample:

5pm A Very Special Bert and Ernie Special

Sesame Street becomes Rapture Road after Pastor Bob and Freedomland Development Corp. run all of the brown people out of the neighborhood. Homeless, penniless, and desperate, Bert and Ernie accept the Lord Jesus into their lives and begin reparative therapy.

Another one of those funny-if-it-weren’t-so-tragic items; they’re coming fast and furious these days.

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The New Colossus

The Statue of Liberty

Not like the brazen giant of Greek fame,
With conquering limbs astride from land to land;
Here at our sea-washed, sunset gates shall stand
A mighty woman with a torch, whose flame
Is the imprisoned lightning, and her name
Mother of Exiles. From her beacon-hand
Glows world-wide welcome; her mild eyes command
The air-bridged harbor that twin cities frame.
“Keep ancient lands, your storied pomp!” cries she
With silent lips. “Give me your tired, your poor,
Your huddled masses yearning to breathe free,
The wretched refuse of your teeming shore.
Send these, the homeless, tempest-tost to me,
I lift my lamp beside the golden door!”
The New Colossus, Emma Lazarus, 1883
The poem is engraved on the pedestal of the Statue of Liberty

In his Random Thoughts, Nicholas Weaver reports today on what he found when he dug a little more deeply into a rule change proposed by the Commerce Department.

The Commerce Department, in the Federal Register, has proposed some significant changes to the Export Control Rules. The changes seem subtle and arcane (a change of ‘and’ to ‘or’, changing country of citizenship to country of birth OR citizenship (whichever is more restrictive), and a couple of “clarifications”). But the implications appear huge, especially the ‘and’ to ‘or’ change. Assuming I’m reading this correctly, it sounds like whoever allows a foreign citizen to use a supercomputer (or other export controlled device) has to get an export license and approval from the federal government. And just about every remotely decent cluster qualifies. Will universities be forced to deny access to Chinese graduate students? What if someone had the misfortune to be born in Iran? Or Cuba? It’s not too late to submit comments (mail to scook@bis.doc.gov, with “RIN 0694-AD29″ in the subject line), as the comment period extends until May 27th.

Note that this is not a major news item; Nick can’t even remember where he read about the rule change. But the implications are startling, and scary. How much of this is going on, just slipping by in the flurry of bureaucratic actions coming hourly out of Washington?

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Chicken and Egg, burnt and scrambled

Over at Whiskey Bar, the smart and tireless billmon has posted the first in what promises to be a series exploring the coming global economic crisis. In the first of the series, he reviews an article from Nouriel Roubini’s Global Economic Blog that discusses the Rashomon-like nature of our current situation; what’s happening is so complicated, so wide-ranging in its implications and diverse in its causes, that every economist who tells the story gives it a different plot, different heros and villains, and a different moral.

But, as billmon argues persuasively and knowledgably, it doesn’t matter who’s exactly right here; everything points to a coming crash, of massive proportions:

American consumers and the red-state yahoos currently running the U.S. government will almost certainly outborrow and outspend whatever line of credit our Asian financiers see fit to offer. You know we’ll keep pushing the outside of the envelope until we tear a great big hole in it – it’s the American way….

And when the dollar bubble finally bursts . . oh man. If you’ve ever heard the joke about the pig, the monkey and the cork, you have some idea what to expect. Which is why hopeful talk about a “soft landing� or a “smooth adjustment� makes me laugh. By now it should be obvious: We’re not going to stop until somebody or something makes us stop – just as a jumbo jet in vertical descent doesn’t stop until the ground makes it stop.

In concluding this first article, billmon says that “when this thing finally blows up, the yolk will definitely be on us – even if it’s the boys and girls at the Fed who end up wearing it all over their faces.” That raised, for me, a spectre that’s been haunting my dreams for some time now. In my comment to billmon’s article, I wrote:

In my most paranoid moments, I look at the guys in charge (well, not really, but they think they’re in charge, and they are in position to be blamed), and they’re overwhelmingly Jewish - Greenspan, Wolfowitz. And I remember what happened last time, and I look at the unconscionable willingness of the people in power now to set up scapegoats, and I see a wave of anti-semitism thundering upon us that will be a hell of a lot worse than the economic hardships attendent upon even a massive crash.

I hope I’m wrong.

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