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I Love a Parade

Source: Orcinus
Sara Robinson tosses out what I think is a great idea: a Liberal Pride Parade, on the model of the Gay Pride Parades that are now held around the world and have become, in many cities, civic events that cut across gender divides, or even, in some cases, significant tourist attractions. She points out the small scale and diffuse sense of purpose with which those parades started, and the much more important purposes they’ve come to serve.

It was a street party; but it also put the community’s growing institutional strength on display each year, established a forum for the sharing of energy and ideas, and educated millions of straight people (who, in turn, educated others). Doing this year after year gave local gay communities a reason to get organized, and stay organized — so when trouble came calling, they could organize to fight it without a moment of confusion or hesitation.

Sara asks whether it’s time to adopt the idea and start holding Liberal Pride celebrations nationally. And she lists a number of benefits—the chance to assert our strength in the marketplace of ideas; the fact that such an event will build a widespread sense of community, even in places where liberals are a minority or have been driven underground by the chest-thumping bullies on the other side; the chance to take back a noble name that our enemies have tried to demean by using it as a pejorative; the opportunity to challenge companies widely supported by liberals, e.g. Whole Foods and REI, to return the favor with event sponsorships; and, most importantly, increasing our security at a time when the right wing is ratcheting its eliminationist rhetoric way past any responsible level. But the benefit that I spark to most is the one that Sara labels “Joy and Hope”.

These events should be massively, wildly, unapologetically fun; and fabulous PR for the cause. Without the Seriousness of Purpose required by a demonstration, a Liberal Pride festival can just loosen up and relax. It’s a celebration of all things progressive — and we do it right, the Biggest Asshole Rule kicks in when everyone in town realizes that compared to us, the conservatives are bunch of uptight, self-righteous stuffed shirts who couldn’t throw a decent party if Reagan’s resurrection depended on it.

And where there’s fun, there’s hope. People, we have gotten pretty dismal over the past 30 years. And I hate to break it to you — but, as desperate as this nation is, nobody follows pessimists. We are not going to get our political mojo back for good until we remember how to find joy in this work again. Pride celebrations could be a place to start rediscovering the lost art of raising hell and having fun.

And she points out that such celebrations, divested of any action agenda, can help restore the balance between work and play.

Having an annual just-for-fun day would enable us to offload this social function from demonstrations and protests. It seems like a lot of people turn out for demonstrations because they enjoy the street party, and the sense of connection with the larger left community. Unfortunately, … this diverse and celebratory atmosphere usually works against the intent of the protest, too often diluting the focus and message into utter incoherence and making any kind of real paradigm-busting direct action damned near impossible.

If we have annual events specifically dedicated [to] diversity and celebration and scratching that street party itch, it might liberate our protests to evolve into other more creative, focused, and effective forms. Like King Bertram, when we work, we’ll really work. And when we play, we’ll really play. Both will be vastly better when we stop trying to conflate the two into the same events.

The comments on Sara’s post are generally supportive. Several comments ask when such an event might be held, and the general sentiment seems to focus on Labor Day. My choice for a Liberal Pride parade would be Sunday, the day before Labor Day. That would associate the celebration with the international labor movement, but it would be on a day that typically has no major civic celebrations associated with it. If you like the idea, hustle on over to the Orcinus post and add your two cents worth.

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Ohio has been hacked!

This is a report from someone who attended a meeting of moderate Ohio Republicans, who were bemoaning the polls that showed a probable Democratic sweep of the state…

Then, one insider, probably an extremist, but certainly very close to Mr. Ken Mehlman abruptly stopped the conversation. He told table that it was impossible they would lose either house. He also predicts an Ohio GOP sweep.

He informed the group that over the last year, in four critical states the GOP needs to hold huge purges of the voter rolls have just been finished.

The insider did not say which four states, but did say Ohio was among them.

His claim was a new Diebold voter registry system had been installed over the last year. The last week of July and the first week of August a "test run" was made of the systems ability to purge ineligable voters. The purge generated names and test letters sent out to 1.2 million Ohio addresses with a focus on University’s, Apartment addresses with high turnover. He claims they made the letters seem just functionary, but they have an action component to avoid being purged from the rolls.

The Insider warmed and said that Blackwell was brilliant in how he did this. The letter went on for a long time about changes in Ohio voting and security and suggested people who might have any concerns about their voting status could come by county offices and confirm their continued voting eligability before election day.

He further added, that since it was conducted as a "test" they only sent letters to a limited number of suspect addresses and "I suspect Blackwell chose criteria very very favorable for us."

Further the insider stated that Blackwell had only purged the lists after a full 60 days was given for people to respond. Which means even if a voter was on the "termination" list, they would still have been eligable to vote in the primary.

He told they table they believe the purge has probably caught up "hundreds of thousands of students, activists and wanderers with no real job" would show up at the polls and have to vote provisionally.

He predicted to the table that tens of thousands of voters will show up on election day, and once the provisionals are used up will simply not be able to at all.

The person who received the report went on to test it, in Lorain and Wayne Counties, sending friends from those counties to the Board of Elections to either vote early or get absentee ballots. In both cases, they found long lines of people, all Democratic voters, who were being informed that they were ineligible to vote. They either hadn’t brought the proper ID, or their street addresses did not match the address on their driver’s license, or, in one case, a college student had moved to a different dorm.

This is not something that’s going to happen. It has happened. We have been hacked.

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Too Many Dead

Iraqi women mourning their deadThe first Lancet study on the number of dead in the Iraq war came out just about two years ago; the authors pioneered a very difficult technique, which relied on direct interviews of Iraqi households, asking about family members who have recently died and how they died. Death reports were documented by official death certificates. At that time, the study estimated that 100,000 Iraqis have died in that war, most of them as the result of actions by coalition forces. Our son Alex reported on that study for This American Life, the public radio show at which he is a producer; he did an excellent job of explaining, clearly and persuasively, the relatively difficult statistical methods that the researchers used.

Last week, the authors of the Lancet study released their follow-up study, which used the same techniques and a larger sample of Iraqi households. Their results, which have been widely reported, indicate that the total Iraqi death toll from the war comes to well over half a million.

The Lancet study has been widely criticized, of course, by apologists for the war. The IBC, the Iraq Body Count organization, is by no means an apologist for the war, but they have become the de facto independent source for body count statistics. Their numbers are compiled from official pronouncements and published news stories; while they are considerably higher than the ridiculously low, and constantly changing, numbers that the administration drops when it pleases them, the IBC numbers are still an order of magnitude smaller than the numbers in the Lancet study. IBC is not pleased with that study, and they’ve issued a press release challenging it. But, on careful reading, the IBC’s criticisms seem to boil down to “I can’t believe it; it can’t be that high!” Lenin, on the blog Lenin’s Tomb, has done a point-by-point analysis of the IBC press release, and summarizes his findings:

The whole thing [i.e. the IBC refutation of the Lancet study] is an enormous and misleading exercise in circularity, a massive raise of the eyebrow, a titanic exercise in obfuscation. They cannot touch the study for methodology, they cannot find anything in it that is badly done: not a single cluster wrongly placed, not a single false extrapolation, not a particle of evidence of any fraudulence or fecklessness. They hazily refer to possible bias, but on the basis of nothing more solid than that this would explain away the uncomfortable implications that they draw. As Daniel Davies points out, the chances of the Lancet authors obtaining the sample they did, if the facts were much closer to what the IBC records, are so low that it would have to be fraud. The IBC cannot and do not make this accusation….

To IBC’s credit, their press release concludes with the telling point that we should not need to know that 655,000 died, that even IBC’s own lower estimates are enough to provide “all the necessary evidence to deem this invasion and occupation an utter failure at all levels.”

Update: Deltoid reports that the Senate has just passed a Congo relief bill that uses, in support of the need for such an effort, a mortality study that was also published in the Lancet and that uses the same cluster analysis technique as the Iraqi death toll study.

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Let them eat placebos

If you needed some reason to take control of government away from the BushCo management team, this is something to ponder:

Americans who are at least 65 and those with disabilities pay monthly premiums for the drug coverage under a U.S. program that started last January. Insurance companies last year charged as little as $1.87 for policies providing discounts on medicines. For next year, the cheapest plan will cost $9.50. Many of the 23 million people in the Medicare drug program pay premiums out of Social Security pensions, averaging $922.70 a month.

“Many people are going to feel that they are victims of a bait-and-switch tactic,” said Ron Pollack, executive director of Families USA, a Washington-based nonprofit group that studies health care, in an Oct. 3 telephone interview. “There’s no question that it will be an extraordinary disappointment.”

Now, to go along with that, two stories:

In New York last week, our friend John told us about a treatment he’s been getting for a rare skin disorder. He has to take a medication two or three times a day for a couple of weeks to sensitize his skin to UV radiation. Then the docs dose him all over with UV, and the symptoms go away for a month or two. John was surprised when his pharmacy told him that his prescription benefits had run out, and that he had fallen into the so-called “donut hole” (another story, told here); it turns out that the medication costs $18 per dose (times three times a day for two weeks, every couple of months). John checked into a Canadian supplier and found the identical drug (he’s a pharmacologist, and was quite certain that the Canadian and American pills came from the same manufacturing facility). Cost per pill from Canada: $.75. Note the decimal point.

Second story. Talking with another doc, this one a top pediatric health researcher, he told us about a study that he’d just read that looked into the provenance of 20 major new drugs that have been recently introduced to the market. Of those, just one had been developed by the manufacturer; all of the others came out of the research departments of large universities.

The truth, I’ve come to believe, is that they really truly would just as soon see us die, and the sooner the better. That will just leave more for them.

Bastards!

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